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Mobile Porn Industry: No Viagra Needed!

Posted on February 26, 2007 by Jeremy Toeman

I read over at CNet this morning that mobile porn today is a $1.6 billion industry.

I read over at CNet this morning that mobile porn today is a $1.6 billion industry.

I read over at CNet this morning that mobile porn today is a $1.6 billion industry.

Furthermore, in the next five years it’s expected to grow to $3.3B, a figure I actually find fairly low, as all the key contributing factors (3G adoption, more smartphones, better quality displays, etc) are all in heavy growth mode.  I still can’t believe it’s already earning that much!  Ready for the kicker quotes?

“Steven Hirsch, co-CEO of Vivid Entertainment, one of the world’s largest adult film producers, said that mobile distribution currently makes up only about 5 percent of his company’s total revenue.”

and

“The lackluster reception adult entertainment has gotten in the wireless market so far […]”

Only 5%?  Lackluster reception?  Wow.  Mobile porn makes more money than the entire Web 2.0 industry (no source for that, but it’s a safe assumption).  Mobile porn is bigger than the entire e-book industry. On the other hand, I guess it’s like saying Mobile Porn is worth about as much as YouTube…

I’m personally not all that turned on by mobile porn (yes, double-entendre, I know), but I’m also surprised at the hypocrisy within US companies on the topic in general.  There’s a general “don’t go there” type of reaction from the press (unless it’s scandalous, in which case we must rush out and cover immediately) as well as Wall Street (unless it’s really a lot of money, in which case try to hide it in the books as “services”).  I have two friends who work for companies which make a decent chunk of their profits because their technologies get used in the adult space, and in both cases the companies can barely discuss the related income. 

NOTE: from this point on, please use your discretion on following links, as many are “not safe for work”.

I wanted to try to figure out what $1.6B represented in terms of consumption of content, so I went looking for some facts and, heh, figures.  Now Telus Mobile recently decided to drop mobile porn services but, they were charging $4/video.  Adult star Tera Patrick just launched “moistmob” (link) which charges almost $3/minute.  Other services can be as much as $25/day for content streaming (source). A quick Google Blog search (term: “Mobile porn”) pointed me to the recent launch of my.iPlayground, a mobile adult content directory with a wide variety of both free and paid-for content, showing similar rates.

  • At $25/day, that’s 64 million days’ worth of subscriptions (175K years).
  • At $3/minute, it’s 5.3 billion minutes, or 148K days’ worth of consumption.
  • At $4/video (2 minutes long each), 4 billion videos were served for 8 billion minutes.

At the end of the day, it doesn’t seem to matter how you want to break it down.  With an estimated 400 million 3G subscribers worldwide (seemingly correct source), if 7% are paying for the porn (source, but its buried in other stats on that page), that leaves 28 million people spending an average of $57 per year to get their porn in the palm of their hands.

Sounds like a pretty sizable market.  Now let’s be sure to stay quiet about it, because the only safe place for mature content in this country is on the magazines in the checkout stands at groceries nationwide, or on primetime television.

Posted in General | 5 Comments |

How I Keep up with Tech Topics

Posted on February 25, 2007 by Jeremy Toeman

While I am probably not at the utter cutting edge of every bit of news out there, I do tend to stay slightly ahead of the curve when it comes to news in technology.  I’ve noticeed recently that quite a few of my friends and peers ask me how I keep up.  As I tell them, I don’t really spend that much time reading, it’s more that I’ve found a great combination of sources to use and reuse multiple times per day.  Here are my 4 sources, and a bit on when/how/why I use them.

My.Yahoo.  If they had a membership card, mine’d probably say “Member Since 1999.”  I’ve configured my page to show me sports scores & news, entertainment headlines, and more importantly, a variety of “traditional journalist” tech sources, specifically including the AP and Reuters tech feeds and some industry-specific topics such as “peripherals.”  I end up on my My Yahoo! page (that sounds odd) no fewer than a dozen times a day, and I also use it as my primary source for non-tech news.  I know there are more “powerful” options like Pageflakes and Netvibes, but My Yahoo works, it’s reliable, it’s fast to load, and it’s convenient.  It has the added bonus of being integrated into a variety of services I use already.

Techmeme (pronounced “tek-meem”) is my second-most used site of the day, and I use it to keep abreast of active/current technology topics.  Odds are quite good that if something is going on in the high-tech world, it hits the front page of Techmeme within an hour.  I’m there multiple times per day, and it’s probably the single best way to keep my virtual finger on the pseudo-pulse of the artifical heart in the technology world.  If I had but a single complaint with the site is my inability to filter out topics that I don’t personally care about (e.g. “Second Life”), but my eyes seem to do a good job of that on their own.  I also applaud Gabe Rivera (the creator of Techmeme, with whom I spent some time chatting at the IBD Network DealMaker Media event last week), as he built the site himself!

Next up is Bloglines, the first of two different blog/RSS readers I use regularly.  I use Bloglines specifically because there are certain authors whom I want to read above all else, regardless of topic, and I find this is the best way to follow them.  I know there are other methods of following feeds, but this is my favorite way to consume individual writer’s content on a regular basis.  By the way, my absolute top blog reads are (in no order): Michael Gartenberg, Dave Zatz, Jason Calacanis, Mathew Ingram, Thomas Hawk, and Fred Wilson.  I read quite a few others as well, and subscribe to almost a hundred blogs total, but something about the quality of content and the quantity of content makes them the easiest to follow (I like 0-2 posts per day per blogger).  I hit Bloglines about three times a day.

Last, but not least, is Google Reader, which I use once every day or two to look for interesting topics by other bloggers I like, but who may be either too prolific or focus on other domains from my most-needed content.  This lets me scan through sites I really enjoy (like Engadget, GigaOm, Scoble, etc) where I may look for specific topics, but just can’t read all the content they put out.  The Google Reader interface is really well-suited for scanning through headlines, and I’ve even added Techmeme as a source to it, just in case I find something through that means instead.

So there you have it, 4 great sites to keep up with the latest news in technology.  Use them right, and you’re basically assured to be on top of what’s going on. 

As a bit of an aside, the most important “advice” I’ll impart is this: make sure you combine your blogosphere intake with traditional journalists.  I just read this great piece by Dan Farber looking back on a decade of blogging, and I couldn’t agree more with the comments regarding citizen journalism.  Like everything in life, I try to avoid the utter extremes: the bloggers have a lot to say, but aren’t always right, and same thing goes for professional journalists.

Posted in General, Guides | 6 Comments |

Dialing in to the Emerging Telephony Conference

Posted on February 21, 2007 by Jeremy Toeman

ETel logoAs any of my regular readers have figured out, I love CES, it’s my favorite technology conference (as opposed to CeBIT, which is my least favorite – ugh, Hannover). The next-most enjoyable tech activities to me are the ones where you get to see upcoming stuff that’s either just reaching the market as well as the stuff that may never hit the market (Wired’s NextFest is a great example). So when I heard about O’reilly’s eTel conference here in my own backyard (SF Airport Marriott), I thought it sounded like a good thing to check out.

Here’s the official blurb:

Opportunity Doesn’t Always Knock, Sometimes it Calls. Have you answered the call yet to attend the hottest telephony conference of the year? The Emerging Telephony Conference takes place next week February 27 to March 1, 2007 in Burlingame, California. ETel explores the strategies for taming disruption and exploiting opportunities being created by web telephony innovations.

You can see the list of speakers here and the full schedule is here. I’m not exactly sure if I’ll make it to all the sessions or just 2 of the days, but if anyone wants to geek out at lunch or something, get in touch.

Also, the kind folks at O’Reilly are giving LD readers a special 40% off discount. Not too shabby, eh? Register today with code etel07fnf40.

Posted in Convergence, General | Leave a comment |

Email Overload and Interruptive Communications

Posted on February 21, 2007 by Jeremy Toeman

I try to avoid re-posting content, but this list of ways to deal with email overload was too good to ignore.  Original source is CNN/reuters:

  1. Admit that e-mail is managing you. Let go of your need to check e-mail every ten minutes.
  2. Commit to keeping your inbox empty.
  3. Create files where you can put inbox material that needs to be acted on.
  4. Make broad headings for your filing system so that you have to spend less time looking for filed material.
  5. Deal immediately with any e-mail that can be handled in two minutes or less but create a file for mails that will take longer.
  6. Set a target date to empty your in box. Don’t spend more than an hour at a time doing it.
  7. Turn off automatic send/receive.
  8. Establish regular times to review your e-mail.
  9. Involve others in conquering your addiction.
  10. Reduce the amount of e-mail you receive.
  11. Save time by using only one subject per e-mail; delete extra comments from forwarded e-mail, and make the subject line detailed.
  12. Celebrate taking a new approach to e-mail.

I’ve actually adopted #1 and #7 in the past two weeks, I must say, it’s been wonderful.  I’ve come out against CrackBerries BlackBerries many times before, and I’m starting to really crystallize my thoughts on what it is I don’t like about the most recent innovations in communication technology (especially IMing, SMS/texting, email, mobile email, and even things like call-waiting): these are all forms of communication which are all about being interruptive.

So my auto-email updater is now off.  IM is on, but I ignore it a lot when I am focusing on something, and I may soon turn it off more often.  I like SMS, but can also easily ignore it.  I do try to avoid call-waiting (except when the wife calls) as much as I can.  I’m not perfect at any of these things, but I’m trying.  I think I feel like I’m fighting an uphill battle, it seems as if the world is shifting into a mode where interruption is not just happening, but accepted and even encouraged.

I’d like to hope that we’re at the extreme end of the pendulum on these behaviors.  I’d like to think people will shift back toward the middle.  A little less phone calls in the movie theaters and at the restaurants.  A few fewer Swiss Army Knives mounted to peoples’ ears at all occasions (psst, I mean bluetooth headsets).  Maybe the little red blinky light on the BlackBerry can just keep going off throughout dinner?  Or we can try to stop saying “hey, hold on just a sec, I wanna grab this call.”  Can we please?

The first step is admitting you have a problem.

My name is Jeremy.  It’s been 9 minutes since I’ve checked email, and I have 411 unread emails in my inbox.

Posted in General | 3 Comments |

Satellite Radio Merger: color me unsurprised

Posted on February 19, 2007 by Jeremy Toeman

They’ve tried before, they’re trying again.  Rumors circulate today that XM and Sirius are planning a merger (Updated to include Mark Evans and Ars Technica.  Updated again: it’s official).  The two companies together would represent about 13 million subscribers (6 million from Sirius, 7.6 million from XM), with a ~$8B market cap ($615/subscriber today), about $2B in debt, and roughly $600M in cash on hand (source: financial stats for SIRI and XMSR).  Interesting, as Echostar has roughly the same subscriber base, more profitability (and more room for profitability), yet only twice the market cap.

Another interesting thought is on room for growth. 13 million subscribers represents roughly 6% of the ~240M cars in use around the US, or 10% of households, depending on which model you think is more successful (I vote car).  So I ponder how much of a real growth opportunity lays ahead?

Apparently Howard Stern believes 30-40M households in the next couple of years. Bridge Ratings predicts 50 million subscribers by 2020.  That’s 1 in 5 drivers paying for satellite service.  This sounds high to me, from industry, professional, and personal experience.  I don’t see enough factors driving consumers into “dissatisfaction” with standard radio, especially when compared to the option of consumer more of their own content via iPods and other players.

Some predict podcasting and integrated car-iPod adapters may kill satellite radio.  That doesn’t really sound right either.  Talk to the average XM or Sirius subcriber, they seem quite satisfied with their service.  I think satellite radio has a “TiVo effect” where the product is quite good, and once in, you are hooked, but until you get there, you scratch your head a lot about paying extra money for something you seem to already have in your life. 

Unfortunately, unlike a DVR, which makes the entire TV experience leaps and bounds better, satellite radio doesn’t have as broad an appeal.  If you don’t commute for long hours, you’re hard to hook.  If you work long hours at a desk and want more variety in radio, odds are good that Internet services have even more appeal (not to mention the fact that if you aren’t near a window, you aren’t getting a satellite signal).

We’re about 5 years into the satellite radio business.  I believe there’s still a little growth ahead, but it’s going to be slow, and may cap out very soon.  I believe the companies benefit from a merger, as it leaves less FUD for a prospective consumer.  I believe it’s an industry doomed once pervasive Internet services become available and consumers get anywhere-access to services such as Rhapsody, Pandora, Last.FM, and their own personal media collections.

Posted in Convergence, General, Mobile Technology | Leave a comment |

Already got a Shuffle? How about a free Zune?

Posted on February 19, 2007 by Jeremy Toeman

Last week I put up a link to win a free Shuffle (the winner hasn’t been drawn yet…).  If you’ve already got one (Already got one?  Yes, it’s very nice!), or you just want to get as many MP3 players as you can without shelling out a dime, how about a free Zune?

MSN is running a very simple promo: make MSN your home page (use this link), and you can win one of fifty Zunes (or is that Zuni?) they are giving away.  Normally I don’t like home page-related promos, since it is an annoyance to some.  After scanning through the official rules, it turns out you don’t have to leave it changed for long.  Pretty much just long enough to fill out the form…

Posted in General | Leave a comment |

Ultimate Scare Tactic: Watch out for… Meteors!

Posted on February 16, 2007 by Jeremy Toeman

I wish I was talking about one of my favorite smartphones here, the HTC MTeoR, but I’m not. I’m talking about actual meteors.  I was over at CNet where I read an article that is planting the seed of how we need to build some really expensive device to help save us from meteors.  Here are some quotes and highlights:

“It is possible to save the Earth from something like an apocalypse” with this kind of spacecraft, said Edward Lu, an astronaut and a scientist with NASA‘s Johnson Space Center

“[a really big meteor] would destroy England if it hit, or Northern California, but not the world,” he said.

“Extinction can be caused by a large asteroid impact. But with an early warning system we can prevent this.

I’m not sure if I prefer the “blow it up while we run for the hills” strategy or the “drill a hole in it, then blow it up” strategy, but I cannot believe that a NASA scientist is making these kinds of statements.  I typically leave it to my mainstream news show to try to make me afraid of the commonplace things in this world (“tune in at 11 to find out which type of toothpaste causes rectal cancer”), not NASA.

Seriously, we need to get more money going to privatizing the exploration of space, because I really don’t need my tax dollars prognosticating this kind of a future.  That’s what my $10 movie ticket is for.

Posted in General, That's Janky | Leave a comment |

Michael Gartenberg. Microsoft's 801st evangelist.

Posted on February 15, 2007 by Jeremy Toeman

Michael Gartenberg being interviewedBack at the evangelism event I attended last December, a member of Microsoft’s evangelism team mentioned the company employs 800 full-time evangelists.  My friend Michael Gartenberg (yes, THE Michael Gartenberg – you know, the one who understands consumer technology and convergence?) announced today (old blog, new blog) that he’s joining Microsoft as an “enthusiast evangelist.”  I like that title, its quite appropriate for Michael, as both words describe him well.

For those wondering “why Microsoft?” (or the equivalent phrase, “why not Google?”), I think it’s a great opportunity.  In my eyes, Microsoft (and Yahoo! for that matter) are getting further and further overlooked in today’s Google-dominated media world.  Unfortunately, I don’t think there’s much either company can really do with regards to public perception until they show major innovations, technologies, products, and services.  Michael’s the kind of guy who likes this kind of challenge (since he’s not known to actually sleep, ever).

But for Michael’s answer to “why Microsoft?”

There’s a revolution going on. A battle for the hearts and minds of consumers in terms of their digital lives. I firmly believe that Microsoft is the only company that will enable the seamless transition for users to move in and out of the different aspects of their lives. In short, no one else comes close to presenting a complete, unified and integrated view of the digital home of the 21st century.

I’m very happy for Michael, who I know fairly well.  I think after 5 years of being on the edge looking in on the world of consumer technology, spending time looking out will be a good new challenge, and one that’s right up his alley.  I’m also happy for Microsoft, who has seen numerous recent blunders in their approach to enthusiasts and bloggers (cough, Acer Ferrari, cough, Edelman, cough), and can learn a lot from Michael.  I really hope they listen!

More congratulatory and welcome remarks from: Mary Jo Foley, Robert Scoble, James Kendrick, fellow evangelist (and today’s lunchmate) Thomas Hawk, Marshall Kirkpatrick, and Microsoft’s own Jeff Sandquist.  The news was big enough to be top spot on TechMeme today.  I guess when I left my job to, well, sit on my couch, that wasn’t as compelling?

Posted in General | 1 Comment |

Music Survey: Win a free iPod Shuffle!

Posted on February 12, 2007 by Jeremy Toeman

Got a minute of free time?  I could use a bit of your help.  It’ll take one minute.  Here’s a survey that I need some help with.  In one minute you’ll be done.  All results are 100% confidential (assuming of course that the technology provider’s infrastructure doesn’t get hacked, or they are a bit more competent than our federal government’s intelligence bureau is at not losing laptops).  Did I mention it’d only take a minute.  Free iPod shuffle (the new and improved one, not the old and inferior one). One minute only!

In case you missed it, here is the survey link. 

Thanks again for the 60 seconds!

Posted in General | 5 Comments |

5 Tips for a Digital Valentine's Day

Posted on February 12, 2007 by Jeremy Toeman

In reality, if you haven’t already at least made some plans of some kind for Valentine’s Day, you’re probably a little screwed.  Some of these tips need a little lead time, but some are pretty easy.  Good luck out there, it’s definitely one of the toughest days of the year!

Read on…

ps – I had a sixth one about setting up a whole thing for playing video games and all, but it ended up just way geekier than I really wanted to come across. 

pps – Well, I probably shoulda skipped that PS above then, huh?

Posted in General, Guides | Leave a comment |

Need a way to avoid East Coast headlines!

Posted on February 11, 2007 by Jeremy Toeman

IMG_2670 jt emmyI like the Oscar’s a lot, and having won a technology Emmy this year (I’m such a show-off), I’ll most certainly watch them.  I’m not all that big into the Grammy’s, but I know there’s a performance by the Police, and there are supposedly a lot of other exciting acts tonight.  So I’ve got the show recording right now, with the intent to watch it a little time-shifted, so I can skip long speeches and boring commercials.

Just before starting, however, I hopped on to my My.Yahoo page, to notice the headline “xxx takes tearful Grammy spotlight” (I am hiding the name for anyone who might happen to read my blog yet not want to know anything that occurs at the show in advance, which is probably about 1.3 people). The article, from the AP (here’s the story if you want to read it), also reveals many other big winners at the show.  Did they really need to push the story to the wire quite so soon?  Really?

This sucks.  Not so much for me, because I really don’t care about this particular outcome, but it sucks that thanks to the power of the Internet for the rapidity of information dissemination, it’s nearly impossible to be surprised by a non-live event anymore.

It’d be great to have some option inside My.Yahoo or any other RSS feed reader that includes some field that determines whether the publishing time should correspond to the local time zone or originating one.  It’s probably just wishful thinking, but I don’t think it’s a bad idea, and can’t be that hard to introduce.  Can anyone help me out with this?

Anyone?

Bueller?

Posted in General | Leave a comment |

Distinguishing Web Traffic from Influencers

Posted on February 11, 2007 by Jeremy Toeman

There was an interesting article in the Wall Street Journal entitled “The Wizards of Buzz” wherein the WSJ profiled some of the top posters to Digg, Reddit, Netscape, and other social bookmarking sites.  In talking about the trends related to these sites, the authors write

[it’s] giving rise to an obsessive subculture of ordinary but surprisingly influential people who, usually without pay and purely for the thrill of it, are trolling cyberspace for news and ideas to share with their network.

Also in the article are references to several Web sites who have seen their traffic levels spike since being Dugg or StumbledUpon, and the newfound success of these ventures.  Ross Dawson, Webomatica, and Michael Arrington also covered the article, and Mike made the following observation:

For readers familiar with Digg and the others, the article won’t tell them anything they didn’t already know. For those unfamiliar, they may be left somewhat confused by the whole crazy ecosystem, and the fact that twelve year olds are now helping to define what “news” is. Interesting times we live in.

As a consultant doing influencer marketing campaigns for several clients, I find it particularly interesting how much of a challenge these sites can be to predict.  Sometimes the most mundane or archaic news articles or Web sites find themselves being regurgitated on the front of Digg.  The other issue here is really evaluating the real value of the traffic that comes via these sites.  It seems fairly accepted that Digg and Netscape are more ‘guilty pleasures’ than genuine ‘news sources’. 

For example, I was “Dugg” back in October which sent me a ton of traffic for about 48 hours.  But in the grand scheme of my readership it was a tiny spike, and within a week my numbers were only a few percent above where they were before.  In other words, despite tens of thousands of people becoming exposed to my blog, barely 1% of them found my writing compelling enough to come back regularly.  Now I don’t take this too personally, because 99% of these people don’t care about what I write.  Guess what, 99% of the population doesn’t care about what any given person writes!

You can actually see these results for yourself across multiple bloggers.  Just review Alexa ranks of various blogs and trace traffic spikes to Digg articles.  So in a long-term view, the so-called influencers on Digg, Reddit, etc aren’t really causing influence, they’re causing Web traffic.  When I compare the value of inbound links from people like Robert Scoble and Dave Winer, they’ve caused a permanent increase in my traffic and subscribers. Why, you might ask?  Well, they are both influencers in the general technology space, and I write a blog in the technology space.  Easy one, eh?

As you think about your viral marketing programs, think about who your influencers are.  Got a Web 2.0 company?  It’s clearly Michael Arrington.  Got a consumer electronics device?  Get it to Ryan Block (well, and myself of course).  Have a new DSLR digital camera or lens?  Send it to Thomas Hawk.  But if you have some cool new purse that you want to build buzz around, here’s a free tip: don’t send it to any of those guys, they don’t care, and nor do the people they influence!  Need more advice?  Get in touch. 

Posted in General | 1 Comment |
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About

Jeremy Toeman is a seasoned Product leader with over 20 years experience in the convergence of digital media, mobile entertainment, social entertainment, smart TV and consumer technology. Prior ventures and projects include CNET, Viggle/Dijit/Nextguide, Sling Media, VUDU, Clicker, DivX, Rovi, Mediabolic, Boxee, and many other consumer technology companies. This blog represents his personal opinion and outlook on things.

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